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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
DL

Freiburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (4.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
18.62%18.58%62.81%
Both teams to score 65.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.81%29.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.79%50.21%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99%9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29%30.71%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 18.62%
    Borussia Dortmund 62.81%
    Draw 18.58%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.87%
1-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 2.04%
2-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 4%
Total : 18.62%
1-1 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 2.57%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.58%
1-2 @ 9.34%
1-3 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 7.44%
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-3 @ 5.96%
2-3 @ 4.7%
1-4 @ 4.51%
0-4 @ 3.59%
2-4 @ 2.83%
1-5 @ 2.17%
0-5 @ 1.73%
2-5 @ 1.36%
3-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 62.81%

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