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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
HL

Dortmund
2 - 2
Hoffenheim

Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
66.12%17.88%16%
Both teams to score 61.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.33%30.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.01%51.99%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31%8.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.09%29.91%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85%32.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37%68.63%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 66.12%
    Hoffenheim 16%
    Draw 17.88%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 6.82%
3-0 @ 6.79%
4-1 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 4.37%
4-0 @ 4.15%
4-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 2.03%
5-2 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.01%
6-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 66.12%
1-1 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 2.79%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-1 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-2 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16%

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