Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
