Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
