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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena

Sheriff Tiraspol
1 - 0
Zrinjski Mostar

Savic (22' og.)
Lushkja (62'), Guedes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zlomislic (28'), Jankovic (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Wednesday, July 6 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Wednesday, July 6 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar

Zrinjski were so impressive in the Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina last season and will be looking to draw on their performance level from 2021-22 to help them in this match. We are expecting it to be a very tight second leg on Tuesday but believe that Sheriff will ultimately have enough to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheriff Tiraspol in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sheriff Tiraspol.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawZrinjski Mostar
43.19%24.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.9% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)46.28% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (0.019000000000002 0.02)68.57% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)21.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)54.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.015999999999991 0.02)27.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)63.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 43.19%
    Zrinjski Mostar 31.9%
    Draw 24.92%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawZrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.19%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Wednesday, July 6 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, February 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 Braga
Thursday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Tuesday, December 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, November 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Wednesday, July 6 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: APOEL 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, September 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Differdange
Thursday, August 27 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Malmo
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying


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