Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
