Sheriff shown enough during their Champions League fixtures that they will not be overawed by a game of this magnitude. Nevertheless, Braga are always dark horses at this level, and we feel that the Portuguese outfit will do enough to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.31%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
