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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
Sheriff
RM

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 3
Real Madrid


Costanza (29')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alaba (30'), Kroos (45+1'), Benzema (55')
Mendy (4')

We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 Real Madrid

Despite losing against Sheriff two months ago, Real Madrid will head into Wednesday's fixture as the strong favourites to come away with all three points. The hosts will likely frustrate Los Blancos one again and could cause problems in the final third, however, the visitors will be fired up to get the job done this time around and should have no problems in outscoring their opponents in Transnistria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawReal Madrid
18.68%20.78%60.54%
Both teams to score 56.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17%39.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81%62.19%
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14%34.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41%71.59%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25%12.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98%39.02%
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 18.68%
    Real Madrid 60.54%
    Draw 20.78%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 5.09%
1-0 @ 4.69%
2-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.68%
1-1 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 9.16%
1-3 @ 6.82%
0-3 @ 6.47%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 3.51%
0-4 @ 3.33%
2-4 @ 1.85%
1-5 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 60.54%

Read more!
Read more!


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