SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for NK Bravo had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a NK Bravo win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | NK Bravo |
59.3% ( 0.61) | 21.8% ( 0) | 18.9% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( -0.91) | 44.11% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( -0.89) | 66.49% ( 0.9) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.11) | 14.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( -0.21) | 42.52% ( 0.21) |
| NK Bravo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( -1.18) | 37.13% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( -1.19) | 73.92% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | NK Bravo |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 59.29% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.9% |
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