Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
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