SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Brentford |
| 77.05% | 13.66% ( -0.01) | 9.28% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.75% ( 0.03) | 27.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.2% ( 0.03) | 47.8% ( -0.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.24% ( 0.01) | 5.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.81% ( 0.02) | 22.19% ( -0.02) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% ( 0.02) | 39.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( 0.02) | 76.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 8.19% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.61% 5-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 5.1% Total : 77.06% | 1-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 13.66% | 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.28% |
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