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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion De Leunen
SP

Union SG
0 - 1
Slavia Prague

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Westerlo 4-3 Union SG
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 1-2 Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague win 5-2 on aggregate)

As Slavia Prague pack more of an attacking punch and can be sure to capitalise on Union SG's defensive shortcomings, the Czech outfit ought to successfully fight fire with fire in Belgium. Goals should be a guarantee in an intriguing second leg, but if the hosts have not learned their aerial lessons, a stunning comeback will be off the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 22.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawSlavia Prague
55.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.12% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.16%
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38%14.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Slavia Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 55.45%
    Slavia Prague 22.43%
    Draw 22.12%
Union SGDrawSlavia Prague
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 3.03%
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 55.45%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 22.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Westerlo 4-3 Union SG
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 3-1 Union SG
Wednesday, August 7 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union SG 3-1 Beerschot VA
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Dender 0-0 Union SG
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 4-3 Lierse Kempenzonen
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Saturday, July 20 at 7pm in Belgian Super Cup
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Olomouc
Saturday, August 10 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 3-1 Union SG
Wednesday, August 7 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Liberec 0-1 Slavia Prague
Friday, August 2 at 4.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 4-0 Ceske Budejovice
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slovacko 0-0 Slavia Prague
Sunday, July 21 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 4-0 Mlada Boleslav
Sunday, May 26 at 3pm in Czech Liga


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