Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Swansea City
29.53%	27.46%	43%

Both teams to score 47.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.5%

57.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.7%

78.29%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04%

34.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3%

71.7%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33%

61.66%

Score Analysis

Barnsley 29.53%

Swansea City 43%

Draw 27.46%

Barnsley	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.53%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.05% Total : 43%