Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
