Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Swansea City |
26.81% | 27.54% | 45.65% |
Both teams to score 46.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41% | 59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.53% | 79.47% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% | 37.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% | 74.73% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% | 25.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% | 60.78% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.81% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 13.27% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.65% |
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