Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.