Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (12.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
