Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.