Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
