Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Stoke City
23.37%	27.5%	49.13%

Both teams to score 43.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.98%

61.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19%

81%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76%

42.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36%

78.64%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97%

25.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3%

59.7%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 23.37%

Stoke City 49.13%

Draw 27.5%

Birmingham City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.37%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 14.64% 0-2 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-3 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.14% Total : 49.13%