Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
