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BL
Championship | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
BL

Bournemouth
3 - 2
Birmingham

Danjuma (36'), Wilshere (61'), Billing (77')
Billing (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hogan (27', 68')
Friend (83'), Gardner (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawBirmingham City
49.59%27.06%23.35%
Both teams to score 44.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4%59.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07%79.93%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48%58.53%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56%41.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05%77.95%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 49.58%
    Birmingham City 23.35%
    Draw 27.06%
BournemouthDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 14.22%
2-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 23.35%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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