Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 48%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
