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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St Andrew's
BC

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
39.39%28.65%31.95%
Both teams to score 45.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01%60.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02%80.98%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84%30.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69%66.31%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24%71.76%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 39.38%
    Bristol City 31.95%
    Draw 28.65%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.65%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 0.95%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 39.38%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 31.95%

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