Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
