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BC
Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate
NF

Bristol City
1 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Scott (40')
Scott (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mighten (90+1' pen.), Taylor (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawNottingham Forest
25.67%28.06%46.26%
Both teams to score 43.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63%61.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73%81.26%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72%40.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.9%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4%26.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.82%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 25.67%
    Nottingham Forest 46.26%
    Draw 28.06%
Bristol CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.34%
3-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 25.67%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 14.18%
0-2 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-3 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.37%
1-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 46.26%

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