Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match.
