Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Luton Town
32.55%	30.28%	37.16%

Both teams to score 41.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.91%

66.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.35%

84.64%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64%

37.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.85%

74.14%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82%

34.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13%

70.86%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.55%

Luton Town 37.16%

Draw 30.27%

Birmingham City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.77% Total : 32.55%	1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.76% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.27%	0-1 @ 13.7% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.16%