Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
