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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Griffin Park
LT

Brentford
1 - 0
Luton

Ghoddos (14')
Mbeumo (32'), Toney (81'), Toney (90+5')
Toney (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bradley (39')
Lockyer (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brentford in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
58.46%24.31%17.23%
Both teams to score 43.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52%56.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52%77.47%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.62%46.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98%82.01%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 58.44%
    Luton Town 17.23%
    Draw 24.31%
BrentfordDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 14.69%
2-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.13%
4-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.97%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 58.44%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 17.23%

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