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Championship | Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 at 6pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
SL

Birmingham
1 - 3
Swansea

Jutkiewicz (5')
Roberts (54'), Gardner (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brewster (12'), Cabango (45'), Fulton (52')
Fulton (71'), Guehi (85'), Naughton (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
34.48%25.49%40.03%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88%48.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71%70.29%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14%26.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83%62.16%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22%23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06%57.94%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.48%
    Swansea City 40.03%
    Draw 25.49%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 6.59%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.03%


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