Championship | Gameweek 42

Jul 8, 2020 at 6pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 3
Swansea

Jutkiewicz (5')
Roberts (54'), Gardner (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Brewster (12'), Cabango (45'), Fulton (52')
Fulton (71'), Guehi (85'), Naughton (90+1')

Pep Clotet leaves Birmingham after loss to Swansea

Steve Cooper hails Rhian Brewster following latest goal

The Match

Match Report

The Swans are a point outside the play-off places.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
34.48%	25.49%	40.03%

Both teams to score 55.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88%

48.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71%

70.29%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14%

26.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83%

62.16%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22%

23.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06%

57.94%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 34.48%

Swansea City 40.03%

Draw 25.49%

Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.03%