Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.