A closely-fought contest between two top Championship teams seeking to bounce back from minor setbacks last week could be on the cards at the Riverside, with a victory for either side boosting their hopes of securing promotion.
However, considering Middlesbrough's strong home form and Burnley's impressive unbeaten league run, the two sides may cancel each other out on this occasion which could lead to a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
