Burnley are closing in on the Championship title, and we are expecting them to win on Tuesday night. Rotherham also need the points in their battle against survival, but we are finding it difficult to back against the Clarets, who should welcome back their key players for this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.