SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.62% ( -0.24) | 24.15% ( 0.07) | 34.22% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( -0.31) | 42.06% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( -0.31) | 64.47% ( 0.31) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.24) | 20.39% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( -0.38) | 52.81% ( 0.38) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.05) | 24.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( -0.07) | 58.45% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.22% |
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