SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Coventry City |
31.33% ( 0.22) | 22.79% ( 0.26) | 45.87% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -1.2) | 36.54% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( -1.32) | 58.69% ( 1.32) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.46) | 23.16% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( -0.68) | 57.04% ( 0.68) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.64) | 16.4% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.95% ( -1.17) | 46.05% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.33% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.53% Total : 45.87% |
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