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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
ML

Blackburn
1 - 1
Millwall

Szmodics (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-0 Millwall

In a game that both teams will be desperate to avoid defeat in, we are expecting a cagey contest on Tuesday night, especially with Harris's Millwall in town. Blackburn have the division's top goalscorer, but we reckon that they will have to settle for another home point under the leadership of Eustace. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.29% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 24.1% (0.319 0.32) 25.61% (-0.355 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-1.401 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-1.688 -1.69)46.44% (1.69 1.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-1.609 -1.61)68.72% (1.61 1.61)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.63 -0.63)18.51% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-1.073 -1.07)49.73% (1.074 1.07)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-1.184 -1.18)32.17% (1.186 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.364 -1.36)68.65% (1.365 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.29%
    Millwall 25.61%
    Draw 24.1%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.504 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.262 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Newcastle (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Ipswich
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Millwall
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship


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