Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Bournemouth
24.87%	27.06%	48.08%

Both teams to score 45.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.51%

58.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93%

79.08%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62%

39.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.92%

76.08%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59%

24.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.17%

58.83%

Score Analysis

Derby County 24.87%

Bournemouth 48.07%

Draw 27.05%

Derby County	Draw	Bournemouth
1-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.87%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 13.55% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-3 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.07%