This is a very difficult match to call, especially considering Preston's recent form. The Lilywhites have only lost three times in front of their own fans in the Championship this season, meanwhile, so we are finding it very difficult to back Millwall, ultimately settling on an entertaining 2-2 draw at Deepdale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Millwall
48.77%	27.19%	24.03%

Both teams to score 44.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.46%

59.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.12%

79.88%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45%

24.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98%

59.02%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.25%

40.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.67%

77.33%

Score Analysis

Preston North End 48.77%

Millwall 24.03%

Draw 27.19%

Preston North End	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 14.04% 2-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.77%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.03%