We see Barnsley coming out firing as they desperately look to keep their survival hopes alive, and they should cause the hosts plenty of issues. The Den is never an easy place to visit, though, and we expect the Lions to have enough to, at least, force a share of the spoils against a team with arguably more to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Barnsley
54.57%	26.17%	19.26%

Both teams to score 41.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.69%

60.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53%

80.47%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25%

55.75%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.81%

46.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.13%

81.87%

Score Analysis

Millwall 54.56%

Barnsley 19.26%

Draw 26.16%

Millwall	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 15.45% 2-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.56%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.26%