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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
HL

Millwall
2 - 1
Hull City

Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eaves (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-0 Hull City

Although all of the pressure here will be on Millwall's shoulders, and despite Hull's fantastic away record of late, we are predicting a vital home win on Monday. The hosts are always a difficult side to play against at The Den, and with plenty riding on this game for them, they should be well up for the encounter and will be backed by a raucous atmosphere from the Millwall faithful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
51.61%27.02%21.37%
Both teams to score 42.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97%81.03%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89%58.11%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.72%44.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65%80.36%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.6%
    Hull City 21.37%
    Draw 27.02%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 15.14%
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 4.21%
4-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 51.6%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 0.98%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 4-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Swansea
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Cardiff
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Huddersfield
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Luton
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-2 Hull City
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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