Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.