Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.