Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
34.59%	27.04%	38.37%

Both teams to score 50.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38%

54.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.04%

75.96%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05%

29.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94%

66.06%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33%

27.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78%

63.22%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 34.59%

Bristol City 38.36%

Draw 27.03%

Luton Town	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.36%