Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
