Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Bristol City
33.74%	27.74%	38.52%

Both teams to score 48.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.55%

57.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75%

78.25%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07%

31.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62%

68.37%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.06%

28.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18%

64.82%

Score Analysis

Reading 33.73%

Bristol City 38.51%

Draw 27.74%

Reading	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.73%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.7% Total : 38.51%