Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
