Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.
