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NF
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
City Ground
ML

Nott'm Forest
0 - 2
Middlesbrough


Yates (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sporar (24'), Hernandez (72')
Sporar (26'), Howson (45+1'), Peltier (50'), Crooks (62'), Hernandez (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawMiddlesbrough
28.61%27.02%44.37%
Both teams to score 48.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75%56.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7%77.29%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65%35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25%71.74%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05%59.95%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 28.61%
    Middlesbrough 44.36%
    Draw 27.01%
Nottingham ForestDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 12.15%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 8.38%
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.36%

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