Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.