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NF
Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
BC

Nott'm Forest
1 - 2
Bristol City

Freeman (35')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Weimann (12'), Wells (22')
Hunt (39'), Mawson (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBristol City
41.83%27.18%30.99%
Both teams to score 49.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07%55.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97%77.03%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63%26.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48%61.52%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95%33.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36%69.63%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 41.83%
    Bristol City 30.99%
    Draw 27.17%
Nottingham ForestDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 7.74%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.99%


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