SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Coventry City |
44% ( -0.26) | 25.59% ( -0.07) | 30.41% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( 0.45) | 49.79% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( 0.4) | 71.8% ( -0.4) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( 0.07) | 22.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( 0.1) | 56.16% ( -0.1) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( 0.46) | 30.31% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( 0.55) | 66.49% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.41% |
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