SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Coventry City |
65.7% ( 0.12) | 20.11% ( -0.04) | 14.18% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( 0.01) | 45.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 0.01) | 67.56% ( -0.01) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0.04) | 12.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.62% ( 0.08) | 39.37% ( -0.08) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.11) | 43.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.1% ( -0.09) | 79.89% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 65.69% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.19% |
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