SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Luton Town |
51.79% ( -0.26) | 23.43% ( 0.01) | 24.78% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% ( 0.2) | 44.2% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( 0.2) | 66.58% ( -0.2) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -0.02) | 17.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( -0.04) | 47.3% ( 0.04) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% ( 0.32) | 31.64% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( 0.36) | 68.05% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.78% |
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