This has all the makings of a competitive fixture now that Swansea have found some form at the same time as Burnley have lost their way. Nevertheless, Parker is aware that he must change something to instigate a turnaround, which may lead to a late victory at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Swansea City
49.59% ( 0)	24.43% ( 0)	25.97% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-0)

47.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22% (

-0)

69.78% (

0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

-0)

19.22% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08% (

-0)

50.92% (

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52%

32.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

-0)

69% (

Score Analysis

Burnley 49.59%

Swansea City 25.97%

Draw 24.43%

Burnley	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.59%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.97%