Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
