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Thursday, March 28
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ML
Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
CC

Middlesbrough
1 - 3
Cardiff

Assombalonga (85')
Saville (1'), Friend (19'), Howson (77')
Howson (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morrison (4'), Murphy (47', 81')
Morrison (84'), Bacuna (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
39.13%26.98%33.88%
Both teams to score 50.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.84%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.57%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66%30.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48%66.52%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.12%
    Cardiff City 33.88%
    Draw 26.98%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 33.88%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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